It's sort of up in the air. The Colonials need to finish in the top 12 to make it, and so far GW is in the last place at 0-6. Fordham is 1-6, Charlotte is 1-5, Bona is 2-6 and UMass, surprisingly, is 2-4. Ken Pomeroy calculates that GW will go 3-13 in conference, thus missing the tourney for the second year in a row. The only other team not to make it would be Fordham, whose RPI is currently an abysmal 307. GW's is a surprising 201.
But all is not lost - GW basically holds its destiny in its hands. The Colonials face Charlotte twice, and if we can win those games, that gives the team a much better shot at making the tourney. Ken Pom has GW going 1-1 against the 49ers, and 2-0 would make GW and Charlotte 4-12 (assuming everything else is the same) with GW getting the tiebreaker, which is head-to-head wins. Beating Bonaventure would help too. And of course, GW needs to beat Fordham, and a few other wins here or there would help a lot.
Image: Not the A-10 trophy
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